Kei te kaha te tipu o te hokohoko pata o te ao, engari kei te whakapōuri ngā raru o te whakapā me te āhuarangi.

Kei te kaha te hokohoko witi o te ao i te hāwau tuatahi o te tau 2026. E ai ki ngā raraunga a BIMCO, tae atu ki tēnei Hōngongoi, kua piki te rahi o te witi moana o te ao mā te 13% i te tau ki muri, nā te pikinga nui o ngā kawe witi, kānga, me te tōtā mai i Amerika me Ūropi. Kei te kaha te tono kawemai i Āhia, te Middle East me te Raki o Āwherika, inarā, kua piki te kawemai a Haina i te tōtā, te hōria, me te pāreti mā te 15% i te tau ki muri, ā, kua piki te rahi o ngā kawe witi a Amerika ki Haina mā te 137% nā te pai ake o ngā whanaungatanga hokohoko. Ko Vietnam, Thailand, me Philippines i te tonga o Āhia kua piki hoki ō rātou hoko i te witi, te kānga, me te tōtā.

Ahakoa te katinga o te Kūrae o Hormuz i heke iho te kawemai witi ki te rohe o Persian Gulf mā te 49%, ko ngā tauranga Huriwhenua o Saudi Arabia i te Moana Whero me te whakawhiti i Fujairah i whakakiiti i tēnei āputa, nā reira i piki tonu ai te kawemai witi ki te Middle East me te Raki o Āwherika mā te 18%.

Mō ngā momo kaipuke, ko ngā kaipuke supramax i whai hua nui rawa, me te pikinga o ngā kawe witi mā te 27%, i piki ai te tono moana mo ngā kaipuke supramax mā te 4%, e tautoko ana i ngā utu waka o taua wāhanga. Ko ngā kaipuke handymax me te panamax i piki hoki ngā kawe witi mā te 10% me te 8%, i whakaki i te ngoikore o te waro me ngā utanga iti, me te tautoko i te pūmau o te tono.

• Pānga ki te Ahumahi
• Te whaihua o te mahi ahuwhenua: Ko te iti o te wātea o te tongi waitī (kua heke te rahi o te kawe tongi waitī moana mā te 8%) ka pāngia pea ngā hua o te tau e heke mai i te tuakoi tonga. Ki te kati tonu te Kūrae o Hormuz, ka heke pea ngā hua, ā, ka piki ake ngā utu kai.
• Te whakahaere pāmu: Ko te pikinga o ngā hua kai i ngā mākete kawemai (Haina, Tākei) ka whakaiti i te hiahia kawemai, e akiaki ana i ngā whenua kawe ki te whakarerekē i te hanganga whakatō.
• Te mekameka kai: Ko te wehewehenga o ngā huarahi moana i te Moana Whero me te Persian Gulf ka hanga anō pea te hanganga kawemai kai ki te Middle East, e akiaki ana i ngā whakangao ki ngā tauranga whakakapi.
• Te aronga haumi ahuwhenua: Ko te rerekē o ngā utu tongi waitī me te tūpono āhuarangi e whakaatu ana i te uara o te whakangao ki te tongi tika, ngā momo whakatō whakaū wai, me ngā hangarau whakamākū wai iti.

• Titiro ki mua
• Moata (hāwau whakamutunga o 2026): E kī ana te Tari Ahuwhenua o Amerika ka heke iti iho ngā hua witi me te kānga o te ao i te tau ki muri, me te whakawetiweti o te wera i te tuakoi raki ki ngā hua kānga, ka ngoikore te kaha tipu o te hokohoko witi.
• Tauwaenga (1-3 tau): Ko te kanorau o te mekameka tongi waitī (pērā i ngā whakaputanga hou i Āwherika me Kānata) ka whakaiti haere i te iti o te wātea, engari kei te noho tonu te kore pūmau o te ao tōrangapū.
• Roa (3-5 tau): Ka kitea te kaha o ngā hangarau ahuwhenua (pērā i te matapae hua mā te AI, ngā pūoko IoT e aroturuki ana i te mākū o te oneone me ngā matūkai) ki te whakahaere i ngā tūpono āhuarangi me te whakapai ake i te mekameka. Ka whakaiti pea ngā mahi ahuwhenua whakaora i te hiahia tongi waitī, me te whakapiki i te kapo waro o te oneone.
• Te haumaru kai o te ao: Ko te rerekē o te āhuarangi e pāngia ana ki ngā rohe whakaputa nui e akiaki ana i ngā whenua ki te whakakaha i ngā rahui rautaki me ngā whakaaetanga hokohoko, ā, kei te tere haere te hoko mai i ngā rohe tata.