Te haere tonu o te ngoikoretanga ki te tau 2027: Te mātau haere o ngā kaihoko me te urupare hangarau a te mekameka kai.

CONTEXT_BEFORE:

TEXT_TO_TRANSLATE: E ai ki te matapae hou a Circana, he tari rangahau mākete, i te tau 2027 ka noho tonu te tipu o te ahumahi kai me te inu US i waenga i te 2% ki te 3%, ko te tipu e akiakihia ana e te utu me te huinga hua, ā, ko te nui o ngā hoko e matapaetia ana ka noho pātū tonu. Ko tēnei āhuatanga he whakawhānau i te mahi o te tau tuatahi o 2026 – i piki ngā momo kai me te inu hokohoko mā te 2.2%, me te kore tipu o te nui hoko, ko te utu me te huinga i whakarato i te 2.3% te pikinga.

E kī ana a Sally Lyons Wyatt, tumuaki tuarua o te ao me te kaiāwhina matua o Circana: "Kāore te hunga kaihoko e whakaheke noa i te whakapaunga moni, engari e āta whakaaro nui ana, e whai hua ana hoki. Ahakoa te whakapai ake i te rahi o te kāpata, te whakawhiti i waenga i ngā waitohu ake me ngā waitohu rongonui, te whakamahi i te āwhina hoko a te AI, te whakaiti i te moumou rānei, kei te rapu te hunga kaihoko i ngā huarahi mōhiotanga ki te whakatutuki i ngā hua e hiahiatia ana, i te wa e whakahaere ana i ngā pēhanga ōhanga e mau tonu ana."

Ko te ngoikore o te nui hoko e whakaatu ana i te kaha o te pānga ōhanga K. E ai ki te pūrongo o mua a te peka o Amerika-ki-te-Raki o Rabobank, i te tau tuarua o 2026 ka piki pea te pikinga utu kai o US ki te 6%, ā, i te tau 2027 ka heke whakarere ki te 3%-5%. Ka tukuna ngā taumahatanga tōrangapū-ā-ao mā te mekameka tuku ki ngā utu hokohoko, ā, e tino rerekē ana te urupare a ngā rōpū moni rerekē: ko ngā rōpū moni nui e whakatika ana i ngā whakapaunga i roto i ngā momo hua utu nui, ā, ko ngā rōpū moni iti ake ka tere huri ki ngā ara hoko whakaiti, ngā waitohu ake, me ngā taonga whakatairanga. Ko tēnei wehenga e pēhi ana i te nui hoko i ngā momo matua me ngā momo kōwhiringa.

Pānga ki te Ahumahi

• Te whaihua o te mahi ahuwhenua: Ko te ngoikore o te nui hoko e tohu ana he pōturi te tipu o te hiahia a ngā kaihanga kai ki ngā rawa mata, engari kei te piki tonu ngā utu o runga i te pēhanga pikinga. Ka akiaki tēnei i ngā umanga ahuwhenua me ngā kaihanga kai kia aro nui atu ki te whakapai ake i te whaihua, ā, ka tere pea te whakamahi i te ahuwhenua tika, ngā papa raraunga, me ngā hangarau aunoa.
• Ngā tikanga whakahaere pāmu: Ko te pikinga o te tairongo utu o te hunga kaihoko e akiaki ana i ngā kaihoko me ngā waitohu ki te whakaiti i te moumou, ki te haina kirimana ngāwari ake ki ngā pāmu, hei whakaiti i te tūpono pūmanawa. Ko te ahuwhenua whakahou me te ahuwhenua waro, nā te whakaiti i te whakapau rawa matū o te ahuwhenua me te whakapai ake i te hauora oneone, ka noho pea hei kōwhiringa hei whakaiti i ngā utu mō te wā roa.
• Te mekameka kai: Ko te "hoko mōhio ake" o te hunga kaihoko, tae atu ki ngā kaiāwhina hoko AI me te whakapai ake i te kāpata, e hiahia ana kia whakarato te taha mekameka i ngā raraunga hua me te kaha whakarite utu nui ake. Ka nui ake te hiahia ki ngā mea IOT me ngā papa hangarau kai.
• Te huarahi haumi ahuwhenua: Ka huri pea te whakapaipai mai i te whakawhānui āpiti ki ngā hangarau whaihua, pēnei i te whakamākūtanga tika, ngā karetao ahuwhenua, me ngā pūmua whakakapi. Ko ngā hangarau kai e pā ana ki te whakaiti moumou, te whakaroa i te pāroa ora, te whakapai ake i te arorau, hoki ka kukume hoki i te aro.

Mātaitanga a meake nei

CONTEXT_AFTER:### Te Tirohanga ki Mua

• I roto i ngā tau 3-5 e heke mai nei, ka noho te tipu iti o te hoko kai hei tikanga, engari ka puta mai ngā whai wāhi hanganga:
• Te Whakamahi AI i te Ahuwhenua: Ko te hoko a ngā kaihoko mā te AI ka pana whakamuri i te kohinga raraunga me te tātaritanga matapae i te pāmu, ka uru hohonu ake te AI ki ngā whakataunga mai i te rui ki te hokohoko.
• Te Tikanga Aunoa: Kei te piki tonu te utu kaimahi, ka piki te toro o ngā karetao ahuwhenua me ngā waka kore kaimahi i te kohi me te whakarōpū, hei whakaea i te pēhanga moni mai i te aukati hoko.
• Pūmua Whakakapi: Ka whakatere pea te pēhanga ōhanga i ngā kaihoko ki te whiriwhiri i ngā pūmua i runga i te tipu, i ngā hua whakaranu rānei e utu pai ana, me whakaheke te utu me te whakapai i te reka o te umanga pūmua whakakapi.
• Te Ahua Hokohoko o te Ao: Ki te noho teitei tonu te pikinga o te utu kai i Amerika, ka whakanui ake i te kōrure o te hokohoko hua whenua o te ao, ka whakatere pea ngā whenua e whakawhirinaki ana ki te kawemai i te haumi ahuwhenua toitū o te rohe.

Kupu Whakamutunga Ko ngā matapae a Circana rāua ko Rabobank e whakaatu mārama ana i tētahi taiao kai "iti te nui, he uaua". Kei te huri te whanonga kaihoko mai i te whakaheke kaha ki te whakapai ake i te whiriwhiri, e whakahou ana i te mekameka uara kai katoa. Mō ngā kamupene hangarau ahuwhenua, ko tēnei āhua he wero, he whakakōkiri hoki – ko te hunga anake e whakatutuki ana i te pai ake, te iti o te moumou, me te whakautu tika ki te hiahia mā te auahatanga hangarau, ka tū pakari i te takurua hoko.