Kōtaha etita
Editor, Global Trade & Food Industry
E tirotiro ana a Elena Vance i nga mekameka kai o te ao me nga huringa tauhokohoko rawa ahuwhenua. He tohunga ia ki nga ia o te mākete puta noa.
elena.vance@agritechreview.comTe raru o te kūtā o Hormuz kua whakaatu i te whakawhirinaki o te pūnaha kai o te ao ki ngā ara matua. Kei te hanga te umanga i ngā mekameka tuku kaha ake mā ngā ara kanorau me te tauhokohoko whai tikanga, ā, ko te hangarau te mea nui hei whakaū i tērā.
Te mākete ahuwhenua o te ao e matapaetia ana kia eke ki te $5.02 piriona i te tau 2035, ko te hangarau me te toitūtanga ngā tino take e ākina ana. I ahu mai tēnei tuhinga i ngā pūrongo mākete hou rawa, e tātari ana i te ahuwhenua tōtika, te whakamahi AI, ngā tūraru āhuarangi me ngā ia haumi.
Ki te hono tahi o te huringa āhuarangi, te pakanga, te hekenga ōhanga me te hokinga mai o te mate urutā, kei te pāngia te pūnaha kai o te ao e te pēhanga kāore anō i kitea. Ko tētahi arotake kaupapa here nā te rōpū rangahau o Malawi, i āta tātari i ngā huarahi e pāngia ai te rangatiratanga kai o te Tonga o te Ao e ngā raruraru maha, me te whakatakoto i te anga mahi e rima mō te hanga pūnaha kai manawaroa.
Ki te tau 2034, ka piki te rahi o te mākete kākano kānga o Āhia-Kiwa mai i te $6.22 piriona i te tau 2025 ki te $12.75 piriona, me te pikinga whakahiato ā-tau e 8.3%. Ko te whakawhānuitanga o te ahumahi kararehe, te urutau ki te panonitanga o te āhuarangi, me te raupapa tuku matihiko kei te hanga anō i te āhua o te haumaru kai ā-rohe.
He whakamātautau whiriwhiri i runga i ngā kaipāmu 732 o Shandong e whakaatu ana ko te whakakotahitanga o ngā kaupapa here pēnei i te pūtea tautoko, te inihua, te tautoko hangarau me te whakatairanga maha ngā huarahi e whakaawe nui ana ki te whakaae ki ngā tikanga whakawairakau iti-warowaihā, ā, ko te mōhio matihiko i whakapiki i te hiahia o ngā kaipāmu ki ngā whakatenatena kaupapa here. Ko te rangahau e whakarato ana i te taunakitanga mō te hoahoa i ngā kaupapa here tika mō te whakawhitinga ahuwhenua iti-warowaihā.
I roto i ngā rerekētanga ōhanga nui o Argentina, kua whakawhānaua ētahi kamupene hangarau ahuwhenua hou e aro ana ki te pai, te manawaroa me te whakawhānui i te ao, ā, ko te hōhonutanga o ā rātou auahatanga he tino nui atu i te māramatanga o te mākete pūtea i tēnei wā.
I roto i ngā rangi tata nei, kua puta ngā take nui ki te ao hangarau ahuwhenua, e pā ana ki ngā whakataunga ture, te whakatikatika kamupene, te hoko me te tautoko kaupapa here, e whakaatu ana i te panonitanga o te umanga i roto i te auahatanga me ngā wero.
I te tūpono o El Niño e 80%, i hui tahi ngā whakahaere o Mexico me ngā whenua maha o Central America ki te whakarite rautaki whakautu, e aro ana ki te whakatūpato moata, te manawaroa o te ahuwhenua, me te haumaru kai.
Kei te anga te ahuwhenua o te ao ki te whāngai i te tata ki te 100 piriona tangata, i te wa e whakaiti ana i te tukunga waro, te tiaki wai, me te whakaiti i te whakamahinga matū. Ko tētahi arotake pūnaha o 291 rangahau e whakaatu ana i ngā ara matua e toru: te ahuwhenua taiao, te whakapakaritanga toitū, me te auahatanga hangarau. Ko ngā hangarau pēnei i te ahuwhenua tika, te whakamahi anō i te wai para, me te whai i te tapuwae waro e huri ana i te whaihua me te toitū o te ahuwhenua.
Kei mua te ahuwhenua o te ao i te wero nui ki te whāngai i te taupori kotahi tekau piriona me te whakaiti i te pānga ki te taiao. E ai ki te arotake rangahau hou, mā te ahuwhenua tika, te whakamahi rawa para, te hangarau matihiko me ngā mahi āhuarangi, ko te whakawhānui whai whakaaro te huarahi e taea ana.
Ko te pakanga i te Rawhiti o te Ao i te timatanga o te tau 2026 i kati ai te ara moana o Hormuz, i piki te utu o te kawe waka puta noa i te ao, i raru ai te hoko taonga ahuwhenua o Amerika. Ka tātarihia e tēnei tuhinga te pānga o te raruraru ki te pai o te whakarato, me te mahi o te hangarau ahuwhenua ki te whakapakari i te kaha.
Ko tēnei tuhinga e tirotiro ana i te whakamahi i te hiko o te rā me te mahi ahuwhenua hei whakapai ake i te whaihua o te whenua, whakapakari i te urutau ki te huringa o te āhua o te rangi, me te whakatairanga i te panonitanga o te ahuwhenua ki te toitūtanga.
E ai ki te pūrongo hou a Market Intelo, ko te mākete o te ao mō ngā hangarau mātauranga ahuwhenua me te Ahuwhenua 4.0 e matapae ana ka piki mai i te $18.2 piriona i te tau 2025 ki te $51.8 piriona i te tau 2034, me te pikinga ā-tau 12.2%. Ko ngā hangarau hou pēnei i te pūoko, te karetao, me te AI e whakahou ana i te mekameka kai o te ao, engari he rerekē te tere me te arotahi o te whakamahi i ia rohe.
Ko te putanga anō o te ngaru whiri o te Ao Hou hei whakaweti nui ki te mekameka tuku kai me te miraka o te ao, ka whai wāhi nui te hangarau ahuwhenua ki te aro turuki, te ārai me te tiaki i ngā tauhokohoko.
I runga i ngā rangahau mākete hou rawa, kei te piki haere ngā haruru ahuwhenua pū tōtika ā-ao nā te akiaki a ngā hiahia mō te haumaru kai, te mahi aunoatanga i te pāmu, me te whakahaere mā ngā raraunga. Ka tātari tēnei tuhinga, mai i te tirohanga o te hangarau ahuwhenua me te mekameka tuku kai o te ao, i ōna pānga ki te tōtika o te whakaputa, te hanganga o te hunga kaimahi, ngā aronga haumitanga, me ngā ia mō ngā tau 3—5 kei te heke mai.
I muri i ngā pānga o ngā pakarutanga mate rewharewha manu i ngā wā maha, kua kitea ngā tohu o te whakaoranga i roto i te tauhokohoko e pā ana ki te whakamate manu mō te mākete mīti manu o Awherika ki te Tonga. E whakaatu ana tēnei panonitanga ehara i te mea i te whakapai ake ā-wā o te ārai me te whakahaere i ngā mate kararehe anake, engari e whakaata ana hoki i ngā whakarerekētanga hanganga o te rāngai kararehe me ngā manu i te aroturuki i te takenga, te whakahaere hauora, me te pakari o te mekameka tuku.